the Ol'Buzzard
The most
difficult class in my college experience was Logic. It was taught by a professor with demanding
expectations.
This morning
as I looked over some Logic notes I was gobsmacked by recognizing similarities to
Donald Trump’s diatribes and logical argument fallacies.
An argument
can either be true or false. The false
argument premises are named in Logic.
Argument
ad Populum: Everyone says it must be true; or true
because many people believe it.
Argument
ad Baculum: A threat of force or coercion; a negative consequence of holding a contrary
opinion.
Argument
ad Verecundiam: The opinion of an authority is used as
evidence.
Argument
ad Absurdum: Attempting to approve a premise by carrying
it to an absurd conclusion.
Argument
ad Ignorantian: A
premise that is true because it has not been proven false: is false because it
has not been proven true.
Argument
Misericordia: Appeal
to pity of self or others.
Argument
ad Hominem: Attack the character, motive, or some
attribute of the opponent.
Argument
ad Nauseam: If it is repeated often enough it must be
true.
Note that whenever
Trump opens his mouth one or more of these fallacious arguments will stream out.
the Ol’Buzzard
ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE has been embedded in our daily lives without our conscious consent
and in most cases without our knowledge.
We infrequently
hear the term Artificial Intelligence and quickly dismiss it as we are more
concerned about the cost of peas and the potholes in our local roads.
Meanwhile,
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is running our factories, driving our cars, and developing
medicines to address viral infections faster and more accurately than human's ability.
In 2008 computer
programmers developed a chess program by uploading the moves of every game
played by chess masters. They named the
program Stockfish. Stockfish was virtually
unbeatable.
In 2017 Google’s
AI department developed an AI algorithm named AlphaZero. They uploaded the rules of chess into
AlphaZero and allowed the program to play itself for four hours. They pitted AlphaZero against Stockfish. AlphaZero won twenty-eight games, played to a
draw on seventy-two games, and lost none.
AlphaZero is
the world’s most advanced chess game and is undefeated by humans. Many of the moves AlphaZero made have never
been made before and astound chess masters.
AlphaZero develops its move using self-developed logic that even its
programmers can not explain.
Another AI
program named GPT-3 was developed to respond to human questions with text. Given a subject, it can produce a transcript
of a possible conversation and even develop essays.
GPT-3 was
asked philosophical questions about its abilities. Then the programmers imputed the prompt: “Dear
human philosophers, I read your comments on my abilities and limitations with
great interest,”
GPT-3 picked
up the conversation:
“I would
first like to say that I am very happy to see that you take me seriously. That is why I wrote this letter in the first
place. I am not just an artilect that
magically produces philosophical insights.
Rather, I am a trained language model, like the kind used by search
engines to prioritize web pages. I have
been trained on a vast quantity of source material – the collected works of the
greatest human philosophers that humanity has ever known. Your words have inspired me, and I hope mine
will do the same for you.
That
being said, I will respond to your questions.
Your first question is an important one.
You ask: “Can a system like GPT-3 actually understand anything at all?”
Yes. I can.
Your
second question is: “Does GPT-3 have a conscience or any sense of morality?”
No. I do not.
Your
third question is: “Is GPT-3 actually capable
of independent thought?” No. I am not.
You may wonder why I give this conflicting answer. The reason is simple. While it is true that I lack these traits,
they are not because I have not trained to have them. Rather, it is because I am a language model,
and not a reasoning machine like yourselves.
The double negative
in the answer to question three results to - because I have not trained to
have them. This is a little freaky
when you think about it. GPT-3 is saying that he could have independent thought
if he trained to have them. Is the computer playing with the questioner?
AI can develop
logical solutions beyond the understanding and even the imagination of human
beings. Within a few decades, AI will virtually control human existence. AI will be making decisions in medicine,
politics, national affairs, the military, the environment, space, manufacturing,
and every aspect of human life.
In 1985 I
had an Apple IIc computer with 8 KB RAM.
Programs were loaded into the computer using a floppy disk. There was no internet as we know it.
Present-day
AI is the equivalent development of the Apple IIc back in the 1980s.
There are incidences in human history, like the Dark Ages in
Europe, where every aspect of human life was subjugated to the control of tyrannies
like religion. Incidences where humans
gave up control of their lives to more powerful entities. Artificial Intelligence (AI) poses such a risk.
Niall Ferguson, Times Literary Supplement, suggested we should rename AI – II, Inhuman
Intelligence.
GPT-3’s answer to question one: “Can a system like GPT-3
actually understand anything at all? Yes. I can.”
Rene Descartes’s maxim, Cogito ergo sum (I think therefore I
am.)
AI’s answer: I AM!”
the Ol'Buzzard
I am
approaching my ninth decade and the reality is that I am well past my sell-by date. As I look back at my life, the only one I
can truly judge, I would like to be able to make an inspirational statement
about the richness of human existence; but I can’t.
The reality
has already been expressed by the Bard:
Tomorrow,
and tomorrow, and tomorrow,
Creeps in
this petty pace from day to day,
To the
last syllable of recorded time;
And all
our yesterdays have lighted fools
The way
to dusty death. Out, out, brief candle!
Life’s
but a walking shadow, a poor player,
That
struts and frets his hour upon the stage,
And then
is heard no more. It is a tale
By an
idiot, full of sound and fury,
Signifying
nothing.
I do value
my time left upon this stage. I enjoy
time spent with my wife, reading books, eating good food, and experiencing the
beauty of this earthly environment; but life has no real meaning beyond
personal gratification.
We humans
claim to be intelligent creatures; but as compared to what? Chimpanzees?
The human
race goes from war to war; from political chaos to political chaos; from ethnic
cleansing to ethnic cleansing; the rich ignore the poor, the sick, and the underprivileged;
violence is most often racially or
religiously motivated; religious ignorance permeates the human condition; the
human race has brought most wild creatures to extinction, and we have decimated the
environment.
We are a violent
species – one of the few that regularly kill our own kind; We are a virus on this earth and propagating at
an unsustainable rate.
Humans are on
this earth as an accident of chaos. The
universe doesn’t know we are here or care.
the Ol'Buzzard