Neil
deGrasse Tyson said that we consider ourselves intelligent creatures because
the most intelligent species we have to compare ourselves to is the chimpanzee,
which we share 98 percent of our DNA.
Intelligence
is a far reach when we consider the human species. We are a species that commits war and
genocide on our own species. We readily
buy into mystical religions and tribal beliefs.
A small percentage of the human race has designed industries and
technologies which has improved our existence on the whole, but for the
majority of us we eat, shit, sleep and go about our daily existence in a dull
routine. We consume energy, produce
pollution, and threaten other of our species that do not belong to our
tribe.
Individuals of
the human race vary drastically in intellectual abilities, on the whole most
people are poorly educated, egocentric and easily manipulated. We only have to go back for a few weeks to
see the ignorance personified by our species that ended in an attempted
insurrection on the democracy of the United States. An attempted coup, based on a lie, supported by millions,
without any thought as to what would
follow.
Viewing the
human race as an erratic and self-destructive lifeform; what are the chances of
our survival as a species?
The
possibility of human extinction has always existed through natural causes: an asteroid
impact, a stellar explosion, a massive volcanic eruption or drastic climate
change. The odds have been stated as one-in-ten
thousand (The
Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity by Toby Ord).
Better odds
than winning the lottery.
Natural
causes are not the pressing danger. The
beginning of the atomic era in 1945 and our rapid acceleration of technology
has now allowed humans the capability to destroy themselves.
On August 6,
1945 the United States dropped an atomic bomb on Hiroshima killing 140,000
humans. Today the world nuclear arsenal
is equivalent to 200,000 Hiroshima bombs, and we are depending on the restrain
of uncertain individual to prevent a nuclear holocaust.
Man accelerated
climate change presents another danger of extinction. Since the beginning of the industrial
revolution mankind has been polluting the atmosphere at an unsustainable rate. The possibility of reaching a runaway
greenhouse effect is real. The earth
atmosphere could enter an amplified feedback loop where heat increases
atmospheric water vapor and the water vapor traps heat. This loop could raise the temperature beyond
human viability (i.e. Venus.) Ord places this danger as one-in-one-thousand. Again, better odds than the lottery.
Natural pandemics
have wreaked havoc on the human race. The Black Death pandemic of the 14th
century killed between one-fourth and one half the population of Europe. But natural pandemics are not the only
threat. Biotechnology now has the
capacity to create deadly new pathogens and resurrect old ones in a more deadly
and contagious forms. Biolabs in the
United States and other countries research and store these pathogens. Between bio-error and bio-terrorism this
human catastrophe is an incident waiting to happen. Ord list the danger as one-in-thirty. Stephen King portrayed it in The Stand.
Artificial
Intelligence is the new boogie-bear theorized by technology nerds. It goes in three stages. One – computers are able to teach themselves. (We are already there: the computer company Deep Mind created
a program that allowed a computer to teach itself championship level chess in
just a few hours).
Stage Two – programs allow
computers to teach themselves not just a limited skill, but a full range of human
cognition. Stage Three – AI exceeds human intelligence. Computers would have the ability to shut
down power grids, launch nuclear weapons and control the human environment… etc.
I don’t
worry as much about AI as long as we can pull the power plug out of the wall
socket. But again, which humans will be
in control of the computers that control us?
I don’t
necessarily buy into the odds stated by Ord; but I do believe that the human
race has a sell by date for its own destruction.
An apocalyptic
event might not bring about full human demise, but it would surely bring about
an end to civilization as we know it.
My feeling
is that the most pressing danger is overpopulation – population growth at an
unsustainable rate. Pollution and the
depletion of natural resources will increase respectively with population
growth. The earth will reach some point within the
next century where it will not be able to sustain human needs.
Of course,
humans are programed to see dead generations as fictional stories, and future
generations in the same light. We are
only capable of reality in the now, which allows us to see destruction of our
species as a fictional event.
the Ol’Buzzard