At best,
polling is only an educated guess. The
next thing to remember is that any fool can post a poll.
The only polls you should give any credence to are reputable news outlets and polling organizations, and these polls should concur within a small percentage. Even then, the results can present a false impression.
As far as
elections are concerned, this country is pretty much evenly split between Republicans
and Democrats: at least as far as the Electoral College is concerned.
CNN, Gallup,
and The Economist all have Trump at 41%.
You would think an approval
rating of 41% would be a reason for Republicans to abandon Trump. But
polling is an average of the population as a whole, counting Democrats and
Republicans equally. 41% of the general
population equates to 82% of Republicans.
Donald Trump is still a powerful
influencer in the Republican Party, and as a politician, if you want to keep
your job and not be primaried, you must kowtow to Donald Trump.
If you
consider 82% of Republicans' absolute loyalty to Donald Trump, and Trump’s obvious
intention to interfere with the mid-term election, you should not count on Democrats
taking either the House or the Senate.
So read the
polls
the Ol’Buzzard
