Monday, November 6, 2023

TO DEBRA - SHE WHO SEEKS GENEALOGY

 

Possibly ,because I have no family to trace, I have always decried genealogy research as somewhat ridiculous.   With a science/math background I tend to look at things pragmatically.    Generations increase exponentially going downward - where as populations decrease going downward. At some point your exponentially generation count will surpass the world population.


By your ninth generation you literally have over a thousand direct ancestors.  Any one of those decedents only represent one one-thousandth of your DNA.   Realistically not enough to actually claim kindship. 


Somewhere between 1490 and 1470 your ancestors, counted exponentially, surpass the entire world population  (400 million approx. world population - 738 million ancestors - circa 1470.)


This of course is ridiculous.   Obviously along the line your generations become incestuous: wives with multiple husbands and husbands with multiple wives and sexual relations between brothers and sisters, cousins, aunts and uncles - and of course: I'm my own grandpa. 



Young women have typically started families by age twenty; therefore, I have used twenty years as the time interval for previous generations


Chart for someone born in 1950 #

# You can adjust the Date up or down by 20 year increments to determine your generational numbers.


DATE

GENERATION

GRANDFATHERS

GRANDMOTHERS

1950

1

2

2

1930

2

4

4

1910

3

8

8

1890

4

16

16

1870

5

32

32

1850

6

64

64

1830

7

128

128

1810

8

256

256

1790

9

512

512

1770

10

1,024

1,024

1750

11

2,048

2,048

1730

12

4,096

4,096

1710

13

8,192

8,192

1690

14

16,384

16,384

1670

15

32,768

32,768

1650

16

65,536

65,536

1630

17

131,072

131,072

1610

18

262,144

262,144

1590

19

524,288

524,288

1570

20

1,048,576

1,048,576

1550

21

2,097,152

2,097,152

1530

22

4,194,304

4,194,304

1510

23

8,388,608

8,388,608

1490

24

16,777,216

16,777,216

 

1780

1770

1760

1750

1740

1730

1720

1710

1700

1690

1680

1670

1660

1650

1640

1630

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2780369

2148076

1593625

1170760

905563

629445

466185

331711

250888

210372

151507

111935

75058

50368

26634

4646

 

Estimated Population of the United States 1630 to 1780

#Young women have typically started families by age twenty; therefore, I have used twenty years as the time interval for previous generations

 

year

1400

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

 Sept. 2021

 

population

400

500

600

700

900

1.6

8.08

 

 

Million

Million

Million

Million

Million

Billion

Billion

 

Estimated world population

# You can adjust the Date up or down by 20 year increments to determine your generational numbers.


Just saying
the Ol'Buzzard


2 comments:

  1. You are, of course, absolutely right, Ol'Buzzard! Isn't the phenomenon you refer to called "Generational Collapse" or something like that? I think it amply demonstrates that, in the end, we are all related to everyone else in the entire world, aren't we. We are all family in a profound kind of way. Which makes the human desire to exploit, harm, discriminate against and kill even more ridiculous and unforgivable than it already is.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Obviously along the line your generations become incestuous: wives with multiple husbands and husbands with multiple wives and sexual relations between brothers and sisters, cousins, aunts and uncles

    I disagree with the incestuous suggestion. In cattle it is called back crossing. With people it is second, third, and fourth cousins marrying which is perfectly fine and natural, especially when dealing with limited ability to travel and the whole tribal business.

    ReplyDelete

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